Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences - Biogeography

Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences | Geography Department | Biogeography | News | Agricultural abandonment and re-cultivation during and after the Chechen Wars in the northern Caucasus

Agricultural abandonment and re-cultivation during and after the Chechen Wars in the northern Caucasus

 

He Yin, Van Butsic, Johanna Buchner, Tobias Kuemmerle, Alexander V. Prishchepov, Matthias Baumann, Eugenia V. Bragina, Hovik Sayadyan, Volker C. Radeloff

 

Summary: How armed conflicts affect land use, particularly agriculture is not conclusive. We investigated how the Chechen Wars affected agricultural land-use change, by combining social, environmental and economic variables with remotely-sensed maps of agricultural change. We found a clear relationship between the Chechen Wars and agricultural land abandonment and re-cultivation, illustrating the strong effects of armed conflicts on agriculture. Our study helps to understand the relationship between the Chechen Wars and agricultural land-use change in the northern Caucasus, which may be applicable when predicting the consequences of armed conflicts on land-use in other war-torn areas.

 

Abstract: Armed conflicts are globally widespread and can strongly influence societies and the environment. However, where and how armed conflicts affect agricultural land-use is not well-understood. The Caucasus is a multi-ethnic region that experienced several conflicts shortly after the collapse of the Soviet Union, most notably the two Chechen Wars, raising the question how agricultural lands were changed. Here, we investigated how the distance to conflicts and conflict intensity, measured as the number of conflicts and the number of casualties, affected agricultural land abandonment and subsequent re-cultivation, by combining social, environmental and economic variables with remotely-sensed maps of agricultural change. We applied logistic and panel regression analyses for both the First Chechen War (1994–1996) and the Second Chechen War (1999–2009) and interacted conflict distance with conflict intensity measures. We found that agricultural lands closer to conflicts were more likely to be abandoned and less likely to be re-cultivated, with stronger effects for the First Chechen War. Conflict intensity was positively correlated with agricultural land abandonment, but the effects differed based on distance to conflicts and the intensity measure. We found little re-cultivation after the wars, despite abundant subsidies, indicating the potentially long-lasting effects of armed conflicts on land-use. Overall, we found a clear relationship between the Chechen Wars and agricultural land abandonment and re-cultivation, illustrating the strong effects of armed conflicts on agriculture.

 

Link to the manuscript: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2019.01.005 Agricultural_abandonment_and-re-cultivation.text.image0

 

Citation: Yin, H., Butsic, V., Buchner, J., Kuemmerle, T., Prishchepov, A. V., Baumann, M., Bragina, E. V., Sayadyan, H., Radeloff, V.C., 2019. Agricultural abandonment and re-cultivation during and after the Chechen Wars in the northern Caucasus. Global Environmental Change 55, 149–159.

 

He Yin_Chechen Wars

Source: Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation